Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

Curtis off the boil

Posted 05 May 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Islam and the Middle East, Politics

Well, it’s impossible to let the week go by without a mention of Osama bin Laden. And I find, to my surprise, that I’m not feeling too liberal-wet on this one. Of course a summary execution, in almost any other circumstances, would be appalling, but in this case – when you spent ten years looking for someone, and don’t yet know what’s around the corner, you do what you have to do. The thought of the world’s media nourishing itself on the extended trial and eventual execution of Osama is too awful to imagine. Anyway – predictably enough, lots of stuff has been written on Osama, Obama and the West’s involvement in the Middle and Near East – much of it very good and lots of it pretty useless. Honourable mentions in this latter category to Andrew Murray and – sadly – Adam Curtis.

The former has always been pretty idiotic, but the latter is someone I very much admire. His take on Osama, however, is out-dated, non-specific and lacking insight. He is adept at identifying narratives in contemporary history – a great skill – but his own rhetoric leads him into daft conclusions. In this instance he ends up implying Al-Qaeda was a relatively passive enemy, hoodwinked into enhanced status by devious politicians. Well; they killed tens of thousands. Curtis is occasionally as daft a consipiracy theorist as, say, Glenn Beck. That’s not to say he isn’t right about many important things. But this hasty bit of journalism, cobbled together out of a desire to make a single event illustrative of a grand thesis, sinks.

He has a new documentary in the works. Hope it’s better.

Dominating the argument

Posted 20 Apr 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

One thing that this coalition government has done is seriously upset our perception of which roles are important in politics. And it’s one of the coalition government’s biggest achievements. Right now, who is the most senior figure in British politics? Well, as is always the case, it’s the Prime Minister. Ordinarily, one would automatically say that the 2nd and 3rd most important figures, depending on which is most in the ascendency or the doldrums, are the leader of the opposition and the Chancellor. So that would be Ed Miliband and George Osborne, would it? Well, I’m not sure about that. For a start the role which Nick Clegg occupies as DPM elevates him way beyond the seniority occupied by, say, John Prescott (even if his influence is hard to ascertain). And Osborne, although his fingerprints are all over government policy, is arguably a less visible figure than Hague, Lansley and Gove.

This is mainly because Cameron is a very different Prime Minister to those that came before – he is a manager, far more like a CEO than a traditional PM, and his stand-offish, almost detached manner both deflects criticism onto his junior staff (Gove, Hague and Lansley have all suffered from this in a way quite different to their counterparts under Blair and Brown) and makes it difficult to set up an obvious top-table image of him and Osborne ruling the roost. Both have, in this respect, played a blinder – portraying themselves as above the horse-trading which characterized policy formulation between Blair and Brown. It’s worked well for Cameron, as it makes him look more presidential, and well for Osborne – whose public image was so toxic before the election that it’s made fine sense for him to keep a low profile.

And then there is Vince Cable. Widely seen as the wild-card of the cabinet and the weak link, I think he’s had a terrific few months and I very much doubt that he’s giving Cameron any sleepless nights. As Ian Leslie points out on his Marbury blog, Cable serves a very important function in the coalition: he gives the Tory/Lib administration the

“ability to be their own opposition. If the public comes to believe that this is a Tory-led government that is kept in check by an independently-minded partner, then the real opposition will come to seem rather redundant.”

Right now, if the government announces an unpopular policy, who are we most likely to see complaining? Ed Miliband? Far from it. We’re more likely to see Vince Cable or Simon Hughes, Tim Farron or Chris Huhne, looking uncertain and straying delicately off-message. This means the coalition continue to dominate the news, forming a narrative of their own design, and keeping the two Eds (of whom Ed Balls seems a far more effective combatant than his leader) away from the headlines. This is really bad news for Labour, and really good news for the Coalition.

That’s not to say that they’re not making lots of mistakes. Gove and Hague are performing well below par, and Lansley is a sacking waiting to happen. Clegg could hardly be less popular. And public opposition to the cuts continues. But I’m very sorry to say that I think this a government in control of the agenda – even if it’s an agenda which is alienating the country – and Labour need to do a great deal more than bicker amongst themselves about how best to tie up the white working class vote (all this blue labour, purple labour is beyond infuriating). Miliband in particular needs to acquire stature. Right now he’s a long way from being the 2nd biggest name in UK politics – and with a government this unpopular, that’s nowhere near good enough. In the dying days of the Major administration, Blair had absolute control of the news agenda – a talk from him would get top billing on the 9 o’clock news. Somehow, if Labour are to make the sort of advances they need, they have to break-up the Cameron-Clegg-Cable triumvirate which excludes them from the conversation.

Caroline Lucas and Libya

Posted 14 Mar 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Islam and the Middle East, Politics

The Guardian notes that “Thirteen MPs have signed a Commons early day motion opposing military intervention in Libya”; I’m disappointed to say that Caroline Lucas, my MP, is amongst them. That’s not to say that I am in reflexively in favour of intervention (long term readers of this blog will know I’m not) but I do think there is a case for it, and we must be adaptable and energetic should that case be proven.

The motion says:

That this House does not believe that Western intervention in Libya or elsewhere will bring about the peace, justice and democracy that is being sought by millions of people in North Africa and the Middle East; and calls for a rethinking of British and European foreign policy and a more concerted effort to apply international law and its human rights clauses in any negotiations or actions relating to the historical process that is now taking place.

Jeremy Corbyn – who authored the motion – has tweeted that events in the region are a “peoples movement, not a call for occupation.” Of course he is absolutely right, but his early day motion – which Lucas signed – uses the same old methods which proponents and opponents of liberal intervention routinely employ; namely he conflates two issues. Intervention does not automatically equal occupation. And nor is it as simple as ‘Western intervention’. What we must look for here, if we decide intervention is warranted, is a global response, supported by neighbouring Arab states. Only two days ago the Greens issued a statement which said “we are not ruling out support for a no-fly zone, but it would need to be very carefully handled and would need the support of countries in the region.” So why sign this early-day motion?

How we work out whether intervention is warranted, of course, is a complex issue. In a recent column in The Guardian, Timothy Garton Ash wrote:

“A decade ago an independent international commission that elaborated on the idea of “responsibility to protect” spelled out six criteria for deciding whether military action is justified. Essentially a modernised version of centuries-old Catholic standards for “just war”, these criteria are: right authority, just cause, right intention, last resort, proportional means, and reasonable prospects. Bitter experience, from Kosovo to Afghanistan, has taught us that “reasonable prospects” (ie of success) may be the most difficult to judge and achieve.”

That’s definitely true – but there’s nothing in Corbyn’s motion which leads me to believe that all these issues have yet been weighed up satisfactorily. Garton Ash, instinctively, felt he wouldn’t support a no fly zone – yet – but he acknowledged that matters could change.

I’d like to hear Lucas’ rationale.

The fall and rise of Glenn Beck?

Posted 07 Mar 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Following on from Dan’s article about US conservative radio (although I’m not implying there was a connection) it’s interesting to note from today’s Guardian that speculation is rife that, when his contract runs out later this year, Fox News may decide against renewing the delightful Glenn Beck’s contract. I find Beck oddly, grimly, fascinating – he’s obviously nuts, but there is some truth in what the Guardian notes in today’s article; that amongst a ton of desperately simplistic commentators on Fox, there is a certain intellectual rigour about him, although it’s applied chaotically, sporadically, and often in the service of pure menace. When he stands in front of his blackboard, apeing a professor, he asks his viewers to engage in a way most talk show hosts don’t.

But each time I see him on the air he reminds me less and less of the political commentator he once was and more and more of a kind of religious preacher – he’s operating further and further outside of the conservative mainstream; and there are two interpretations. One is that he really has gone mad, and I say that in comparitive seriousness. He’s a kind of paranoid conspiracy theorist, convinced he can take people with him on his strange and deeply misleading semantic journey. The other is that’s he’s transitioning towards a more lucrative, more influential career – in the world of religion rather than the world of politics. The truth is that the he’s just too odd for Fox News, and yet as a religious leader? Well, it worked for L Ron Hubbard and Jim Bakker.

Here’s Beck at his oddest and most interesting – launching into a long, largely incomprehensible chalkboard rant. This is mainstream, peak-time TV, remember. Bizarre.

Republican candidate bingo

Posted 03 Mar 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

OK, anyone want to have a stab at telling me who’ll be the next Republican candidate for President of the United States? We’re getting close now, and right now the field seems wide open to me. Who’s gonna win it? The only thing that seems obvious to me is it isn’t going to be Palin, and it probably won’t be Mitt Romney either – although in reality the latter is probably the most plausible paper candidate.

But I think that Romneycare will do for him, and as much as he interests me, I just don’t quite see how John Huntsman – a pragmatic figure who probably stands to the left of Romney – fits into the 2012 version of the Republican party (unless he radically re-aligns himself as his campaign develops). Someone who does fit the mold – but who is a lightweight – is Mike Huckabee; but he’s intimated he won’t stand, as has John Thune. While we’re dispensing with long-shots, it’s crazy to imagine that Donald Trump is really going to stand. But it looks good that he is seen to be *thinking* of standing, as it helps cement the perception that he is a serious person, a leader of note – when of course really he is nothing of the sort.

So who does that leave?

Well – there are plenty of other candiates – Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniel. The Republican I like the look of (after a fashion) is Chris Christie, who is confident, articulate and forthright, but he’s said repeatedly that he won’t stand. I reckon Obama is probably hoping that he’s not bluffing. He’d be a tough opponent. Barbour is the right candidate for the GOP in some ways – old school, deep south, corporate through and through – but I doubt he could beat Obama. The young Florida senator, Marco Rubio, possibly could – but he’s a more realistic candidate in 2016 than 2012 – In theory it’s too soon for him.

But….

My point is, I think, that name recognition isn’t the issue here. The big names – Romney, Palin, Huckabee, Gingrich – don’t have the momentum you’d expect from presidential candidates at this stage. Every single one of them is either treading water or going backwards. Whereas the less well-known candidates – Huntsman, running as the GOP’s Obama, Christie running as the confident hard-hitter, Rubio running as the fresh face – you could really see flying if they get their campaigns right. The big candidates are vulnerable – even more vulnerable than Obama. The only factor you can’t predict is just how influential the Tea Party are going to be in this race.

Anyone prepared to call it early?

In Defence of Fairness

Posted 24 Feb 2011 — by Dan
Category Politics

What little idea I had after downloading an app for my Phone that I would not only find myself drawn into the world of US radio but into the combustible and divisive discourse that prevails in modern American society…
[blogging by Dan]

People shouting at each other

I don’t have a digital radio set. So all I wanted was a way of listening to my favourite stations at home and on the move. Downloading a mobile app – TuneIn Radio – recommended by friends, would, I thought, cheaply solve my 6Music shortage problem, and allow me to listen to the World Service at any time of day. It didn’t really occur to me that I would also be able to listen to just about any station in the world that has taken the initiative to broadcast online.

After downloading the app and quickly saving as bookmarks the stations I had initially bought it for, I soon delved deeper into the ‘browse’ function. The program enables you to browse through stations dedicated to a variety of subjects – such as Sports, Music, Language and Talk. I chose Talk and here the options widened further – to include Business, Conservative, Religious, Public and Progressive. It is this menu which gives away TuneIn Radio’s American roots, and which, I soon realised, led to a more succinct insight into US public discourse than almost anything else available this side of the Atlantic.

I chose Conservative immediately. Partly through inquisitiveness and also because of familiarity. Exposure to the news is enough to make anyone familiar with the names Hannity, O’Reilly, Beck and Limbaugh. But perhaps also I was in an argumentative mood and as I already knew that my generally liberal sensitivities would be confronted by stations labelled ‘Conservative’, that’s what I chose to listen to. After all, where would be the fun in choosing ‘progressive’ and listening to someone extolling the virtues of Medicare, expressing opinions with which I largely agree.

On the conservative talk stations, the shows are generally based around carefully selected news items, which are explored exclusively through the filter of the host’s decidedly fixed ideological slant – more often than not little more than his or her gut instinct. Callers are then invited to phone in and – for the most part – say how much they agree with the host, pointing out further things that he or she might have forgotten to mention in the initial rant. Where callers disagree, challenging the simplistic analysis favoured by the presenter, they can be met with some pretty stern words, and are sometimes shouted down in a surprisingly aggressive fashion.

The hosts are clearly not experts in any particular field (Rush Limbaugh has no qualifications, having dropped out of High School) but instead seek to define themselves as the everyman standing with the caller against Washington and their shared perception of the increasingly shadowy world of big Government – an oft repeated right wing concern.

A few evenings of listening to the internet feeds of various ‘Conservative’ stations is enough to leave the listener in very little doubt as to the standard of their general content or, more precisely, their entire raison d’être. AM and now FM stations, many of which in the US still use their four letter call signs such as KRLA, KNET, WNTP (how do people not get these confused?) regularly host syndicated shows from parent broadcasters with presenters such as Sean Hannity and the increasingly delusional Glenn Beck.

Parts of their mantra are already familiar. Age old Conservative bugbears, such as abortion rights and gun control are ever present, but they have been joined by more recent obsessions – 9/11, the current deficit debate, Obama’s place of birth, perceived liberal propaganda in US high schools, and the supposed socialisation of Medical care. Their arguments are non-challenging to those who already hold broadly conservative views – and they react with fury when a fellow traveler of the right expresses nuanced rather than strident views. The level of debate is designed to offer the listener confirmation of their beliefs and stoke their ire with highly selective, often misleading opinion, with innuendo often masquerading as fact.

As with much US media, adverts are frequent and, in another sign of deregulation, the presenters themselves will occasionallypersonally recommend a product or a service – a facet of broadcasting which is outlawed in much of the rest of the Developed World. There is also, maddeningly for liberals in the US and without, a market imperative to the existence of these outlets. People tune in. If you are willing to provide – ceaselessly – what people want to hear on the way home from work, you have an audience (and no little power) right there.

Subjects covered by the stations I have dipped into over the last few evenings (corresponding usually with Drive Time in the US) have included “traitorous” trade unions in Wisconsin, how convicted Somali pirates ought to be taken to Guantanamo Bay instead of the “luxury” of a Federal prison (the host clearly was unaware of the reputation of such institutions overseas) and, most astonishing of all, how one female LA-based host thought Donald Rumsfeld was “hot”!

America’s fascination with its current weaknesses, and a paranoia about the country’s place in history ironically seem to take up a lot of airtime. I say ironically because it’s clear from listening that although it is a constant bone of contention for the right wing, there’s little to suggest that they have formulated anything approaching a decent analysis of the problem.

First, they completely fail to see the extent to which Reaganomics, Neoliberalism and right-wing dogma – policy lines they ruthlessly promote – have compromised and weakened America’s global reputation, and second they apply desperately simple historical analogies to illustrate their points – showing up their own ignorance. In the last few days alone I’ve heard several school grade standard knowledge accounts telling of the declines of the Roman and British Empires, and how they can be related to the present day US, especially in relation to the acknowledged rise of China.

The constitution is also endlessly picked over – seemingly for clues for which direction the country should take. There is even, I learned, a conservative organisation which distributes pocket-sized constitutions free of charge to members of the public who request them. America’s current heightened level of fascination with its constitution (is there any other people on Earth that have the slightest clue what’s in theirs?!) is partly due to a school-led indoctrination, giving it quasi-religious status and gravitas, but it is also because of current insecurities and infighting within America itself.

After an hour or so of listening each evening I had had my fill, to be honest, frustrated I couldn’t make a transatlantic call and join the discussion, though I feel my input may have been rejected. The lack of checks and regulations on what was being said (and what I suspect is being said on both sides of the discourse) left me feeling quite worried about its effects.

Fairness Doctrine

The labels ‘Progressive/Liberal’ and ‘Conservative/Libertarian’ can be applied to much of the media in the United States today. That wasn’t always the case. But in the 1980s the ‘Fairness Doctrine’, a policy of the Federal Communications Commission which stipulated that both sides of an argument during debate must be aired, was repealed. The scrapping of this policy was led by Republicans who saw it as an affront to free speech and in contradiction of the country’s constitution. Various attempts at reinstating the doctrine or versions of it, mainly lead by Democrats, have all since failed. In the meantime the American media has gradually polarised into two opposing camps.

This has had a massive knock-on effect in the social and political sphere of a country that is having, at present, to face up to some of the greatest challenges in its modern history. Throw into the mix the nation’s first black president (something which a troubling number of Americans remain ill at ease about) and the divisive and often misreported nature of some of the reforms he wishes to instigate, and the battle lines are drawn.

Movements such as the committed – yet loosely constructed – Tea Party groups have been directly inspired, and spurred on, by several leading conservative talk show hosts. These groups have made large and quick strides since their establishment and in the recent US Midterms have even pushed aside more moderate Republican candidates and installed men and women into the US Congress who are largely untried and untested representatives of public office. In response to Tea Party marches there have been Liberal marches in opposition, most notably Jon Stewart’s recent ‘Rally to Restore Sanity’ in Washington DC. This unusual outbreak of ideological marching has only served to underline the gulf that has opened up in political discourse in the US.

Though it’s easy to dismiss such extreme right wing (and indeed in cases left wing) manifestations of public debate as being wantonly provocative, the 20 year drip-drip of this nature of discourse on both radio and – increasingly – US television is beginning to have a lasting and irrevocable effect. Any population of otherwise rational and educated people would inevitably be influenced by such unrelenting propaganda – whoever instigates it. This is not just a problem in the United States. In other countries too media can prove divisive, though in the case of the UK at least media is much more stringently regulated, meaning that such variances in discourse are kept to a traditional battle between newspaper proprietors.

Americans do have other choices. Despite erratic funding the NPR network of Radio stations produces excellent and fairly balanced programmes. The majority of the free to air national TV stations remain largely free of overt political bias. Therefore surely a concentration on the merits of America’s overwhelming ability to produce globally inspiring output would be far better than passing laws that only lead to a great country shouting itself apart.

The United States, of all countries, should know that with free speech come responsibilities and that free speech on its own, without reason or context can very easily do harm. So please, America, calm down and reinstall the Fairness Doctrine, Ok, so talk radio will be tamer and Fox News duller, but look on the bright side – the increasingly insane Glenn Beck will be out of a job and your political discourse will be enriched and productive once more. America will then surely stand infinitely better equipped to face the challenges that the future will bring.

Easier Listening

Commondreams.org – An article bemoaning the loss of the Fairness Doctrine

Washington Post
– Article about ‘National Institute for Civil Discourse’ to be opened at Arizona State University. The Centre is to be Co-Chaired by former Presidents George Bush Snr and Bill Clinton. It was set up partly in response to the shooting of Gabrielle Giffords in the state in January.

Wikipedia
– A history of Talk Radio in the US

[thanks Dan!]

Cameron the arms-dealer

Posted 23 Feb 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Islam and the Middle East, Politics

It seems quite extraordinary to me that David Cameron thinks that it is, in the current climate in the Middle East and Arab world, appropriate for the British PM to spend time hawking the British Defence industry in Kuwait. That’s right – he and eight senior representatives of the UK’s arms manufacturers are conducting an arms-sales trip to the Gulf at the exact same time that the regimes of Bahrain and Libya are firing on their own protesters using weapons (from tear-gas canisters to sniper rifles) which we have sold them. And Cameron sees no problem: any sales, he tells, us are “covered by assurances that they would not be used in human rights repression” – when the evidence from the Arab world flatly contradicts this fact. Let’s face it, if this arms-fair had taken place in early January, we would have been selling weapons to Mubarak – and do we think he would have refrained from using them when his (richly-deserved) troubles began?

Some think it’s fine for the British defence industry to sell weapons to states which may use them against whomsoever they choose. Cameron certainly does. He says

“There is an argument to be had about whether it is right to be involved in the defence trade. My view is that you cannot expect every country in the world to provide for its own defence and so it is perfectly logical and sensible that there should be a trade in defence. Kuwait is a good example of a country that has been moving in an open and participatory direction.”

Just for a moment let’s accept his argument as valid – Britain has been selling arms abroad for decades and it’s unlikely it will ever stop. In these straightened times it is the role of the PM to encourage trade which benefits the UK economy, and we’ll accept his implication (for now) that so long as there is movement away from repression and violence in the countries we sell to, we should not be troubled by ethical concerns.

So, accepting all that – that it’s essentially OK for the British to arm the regimes of the Arab world – are we still entirely happy with his decision to choose now of all times to launch this sales-push?

Now, OK, the Kuwaiti arms-fair is a long-standing calendarised event for which the likes of BAE Systems, QinetiQ and Rolls-Royce have been preparing for months – and presumably Gerald Howarth, our Defence Minister, needs to be in attendance. Perhaps under ordinary circumstances it would be reasonable for the PM to go along too (presumably Prince William and Beckham – who normally handle this sort of crap – were busy). But when North Africa and the Gulf States are being torn asunder by despotic regimes punishing their citizens for daring to demand their rights, and when hundreds and possibly thousands are dying at the hands of the people we have been busy selling weapons to for years, surely it makes sense for Cameron to take a back seat on this one.

To use this time to profit is morally repugnant. There is little question that more arms trading will happen than ever at the Kuwait weapons-fair this year, and that is purely because Gulf states who regarded their internal situations as secure this time last year are now scenting, fearfully, the prospect of chaos in the air. And here Cameron is, stuffing their money into his trouser pockets.

And let’s row back on our argument. I said a moment ago I’d been willing to accept his premise that arming states which are ‘moving in an open and participatory direction’ was ethically justified. Well – it’s not. Put simply, we should not be selling ANY weapons to ANY undemocratic, despotic or dangerous countries, allies or not. Bahrain is moving ‘in an open and participatory direction’. In the years since Libya came in from the cold, it’s been ‘moving in an open and participatory direction’. But this slow, uncertain, unreliable movement is not enough. In both of those countries British weapons are being employed to gun down the very people who are protesting for an end to corruption and the opening up of democratic processes. These weapons are being used to shut down, not encourage, a trajectory towards peaceful democratic statehood.

And for that reason, Cameron (who isn’t to blame for all those arms deals under previous governments, of course), is taking the absolutely wrong approach in driving more deals with more uncertain states forward. If those guns, tanks, tear-gas grenades and riot shields are used against peaceful protesters again, he will have to take some very small (but not insignificant) part of the blame, and he will have dragged the international reputation of Britain – which is already a long way from perfect – through the gutter once again. We have to decide, is this the kind of country we want to be? One that arms the nation’s bullies, or one that opposes them? I really don’t see how we can be both.

Caroline Lucas at St Nicholas Church, Brighton

Posted 22 Jan 2011 — by Jonathan
Category Environment, Politics

Me and Lyndsey went to see Caroline Lucas giving a talk at a local church in Brighton last night, and it was very interesting indeed. Not a party political meeting at all, this was a chance for Caroline to bring some of her constituents up to speed on what she’s been up to since she was elected to Parliament and explain how she has been orienting herself in her new workplace.

The first observation made was terribly simple, and hardly original – what a likeable, down to earth and straightforward politician Caroline is. Although I and many other Brighton residents would in theory lean more towards having a Labour than a Green MP, she remains terrifically electable. What right-thinking, left leaning social democrat would not want her on their side? Well, doubtless many partisan politicos and local activists could find arguments against her, but like I say this was a largely apolitical meeting – more of a half-term report than anything – and on the first test there’s no faulting her.

Her default style is laid-back, plain-speaking, and at times wryly amused at the situation she finds herself in. As a new MP there are many things about Parliament which she makes no effort to disguise she finds pretty ludicrous. She clearly sees herself (and the majority of the new intake, she was at pains to point out) as being apart from the professional political class and, as such, well-placed to take on a reforming mantle. And it’s true that the only time she really feels like the kind of measured, career politician we’re so used to (and tired of) is when she talks and feels the need to illustrate every nuance with hand gestures, as if every point she makes is rendered understandable only by a pointed finger or a roll of the wrist. Goodness knows how politicians got their arguments across when their primary medium was radio.

Of her time so far, there was nothing shocking. She’s pleasantly surprised by how willing politicians from across the spectrum are to collaborate on shared ideas (she’s spent much of her time with rightwing Tories working on PR and Jeremy Corbyn on anti-Nuclear – hard to imagine which is less appealing), she’s tabled a few motions but not had much luck with legislation, and is perplexed at how antiquated our systems are compared to Brussels. She never ranted, but is firmly, rationally opposed to much of the cuts agenda and animated on the privatisation of the NHS. She struck me as exactly the sort of person we want us representing Brighton, and it is only a shame that she is isolated as the only Green MP.

Walking away afterwards, Lynds and I debated the point. As admirable as Lucas is, I argued, having an environmentally conscious Labour MP might actually prove more productive when it came to drafting legislation. Yes, Lyndsey agreed, but perhaps Caroline’s status makes her uniquely well-placed to collaborate across the benches. And limited though her influence may be, she acts as a lightning rod for attention, ensuring green issues far more coverage than a Labour representative might manage. Then, we wondered, who would find it easiest to gain an audience with Ed Miliband to discuss environmental matters? The leader of the Green party or a backbench Labour MP? We honestly didn’t know the answer.

Other residents – unsurprisingly – were more vexed with local questions. Every point, every subject, which Caroline raised was national; the NHS, green energy, the privatisation of our forests, Higher Education. Every point raised from the floor seemed to center round parking fines and council matters. Just once or twice I thought I detected her stopping her face from falling. Her mind is on bigger things. And her heart – on the evidence of last night’s relaxed chat – is in the right place.

New Labour leader knows how to chop melon

Posted 27 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

From the Guardian’s politics liveblog:

2.08pm: Ed Miliband’s election as Labour leader has been making the headlines around the world. My colleague Luke Harding has sent me this from Russia.

There were more congratulations for Ed Miliband this morning from far-away Moscow. During his first trip to Russia last October Ed discovered that he had a long-lost relative – 87-year-old Sofia Miliband. Today Sofia, Ed’s second cousin twice removed, said she had followed Labour’s leadership election closely and was ‘thrilled’ by Ed’s narrow victory.

‘I’m delighted for Ed. He’s very good, active, and – I have to say – a rather homely person. His brother David is a bit more formal, a diplomat. I like both of them very much,’ Sofia said.

Sofia recalled how Ed dropped round to her Moscow flat after she called into a Moscow radio show and told him: ‘I am your long lost relative.’ (Sophia’s grandfather was the brother of Ed and Dave’s Polish-born grandfather Samuel.) ‘Ed treated us very well. He even cut up the melon.’

Sofia’s comments appeared in this morning’s Moskovsky Komsomelets newspaper along with the somewhat underwhelming headline: ‘New Labour leader knows how to chop melon.’

Assuming Ed wins…

Posted 24 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Seeing as, in the end, I voted for David Miliband (having observed my initial support for Ed M fall away in later weeks of the contest, fuelled by what I regarded as opportunism and over-simplification on his part) you might expect me to be depressed by reports, emerging all over the place, that it currently looks like the younger of the brothers will win. I spent a great deal of time weighing up which candidate would be the better leader, so it’s disappointing in a sense to have concluded one thing and have the party conclude the other. But I’m actually quite pleased that Ed may well win, because I think he’ll be good for politics and I don’t buy the line that he is an unrepentant leftist who will lead the Labour party (further) into the electoral wilderness. I think he’s a rather good, spirited, and bright politician who actually demonstrates, in many ways, a better political instinct than his more experienced, cautious brother.

First off, if he does lose, David only has himself to blame. He has been (not for the first time) too cautious, too uncertain, too bad-tempered and too dogmatic to make the case that he needed to make. Like Hillary Clinton, he essentially ran as the incumbent, with little more than experience and nous as his theme. He tried, courtesy of his community organisation theme, to vary his message, but he was left looking flat-footed by his much more energetic rival, who was far better at creating a story for his campaign. It was, of course, not much more than an amateurish re-tread of Obama’s Hope campaign, but by taking the initiative and defining himself as the ‘Change’ candidate (and by extension his brother as the ‘establishment’ candidate), he made the running, even if he wasn’t being entirely honest in the process. He found a narrative which motivated the base, and David Miliband didn’t.

Now, none of that makes him the right choice. Motivating the base is something that many politicians over the years have done successfully (the most recent examples are, of course, William Hague, Iain Duncan Smith and Michael Howard) but it is absolutely no guarantee that they become electable in the process. Even the most casual of observers would probably concede that Miliband the elder has the jump on his brother here – he has better name recognition, more experience, and is markedly more centrist (our instincts may tell us different, but Labour folk routinely overestimate the appeal of socialism in the country). And that, along with a nagging feeling that Ed sometimes looks a bit lost when he’s put on the spot (he was hopeless when he came down to Brighton), is broadly why I voted for his brother.

But Ed can be a very good leader of the Labour party, if elected. First of all, he is likely to appeal to Green and Lib Dem voters, as well as Labour voters. I think we can safely say that there’ll be an influx of new members after the Party conference (and probably more under Ed than there would be under David), and I’d hope that Labour (which has drawn level with the Tories in the opinion polls lately) will extent a comfortable (if temporary) lead in weeks to come. Also, although one of the reasons I decided not to vote for Ed was because I found him opportunistic over Iraq, there is a reasonable chance that his election will at least temper that ongoing wound in the party’s reputation (little hope of that under David). And a great deal rests, of course, on his judgement.

What he needs to do, clearly, is deliver a storming speech at conference. He needs to hug the Labour right close, make crystal clear that he’s not beholden to the Unions, and acknowledge that some deficit reduction is necessary. He needs to compliment his opponents, particularly his brother and Ed Balls, and make clear that he’s all for collegiate (shadow) government. At the same time, he can hand out some much needed meat and drink to the party faithful and the left – confirming the prioritisation of civil liberties and environmental measures, the commitment to a living wage and his clear support for gay marriage would be a nice start. He also, very very importantly, needs to signal that Labour is ready to work with other parties, including the Liberal Democrats (most likely in Scotland). I’m hoping Ed (if it is Ed) will be a thoughtful, moderate and liberal leader – not the Red Ed of Mandelson’s nightmares, but a sleeves-rolled-up, empathetic leader, focused of fairness. No reason to think that’s not possible.

(Don’t) Vote for Maria Eagle

Posted 24 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Daft, Politics

Wow. Look at this. Labour MPs who wish to be considered for a shadow cabinet position are currently sending out letters asking for support (the 19 individuals are voted in by the PLP). Most are pretty sensible. And then there’s this, courtesy of Maria Eagle, the MP for Garston and Halewood.

According to Wikipedia, Maria, “Like her sister, she is a very able chess player having played for England, and a keen cricketer”.

Labour Leadership bingo

Posted 18 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Daft, Photos, Politics

Me and Lyndsey were playing this during the Question Time debate the other night – we each drew lots and competed over who’d get the most references. This is basically how I’ve got through the Labour Leadership contest – bingo and drinking games.

For what it’s worth, I thought Ed Balls was the clear winner. (Not of the bingo, of the debate).

A few quick thoughts about the Pope

Posted 17 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category General, Politics

Two arguments are being conflated with this whole Pope visit stuff. There is one argument that the Pope should not be afforded the status of a state visit, and that the Catholic Church, in its current manifestation, is a dangerous and illiberal force. There’s another argument, too, that rational thinking suggests there isn’t a god. They are both good arguments, worth having, but we shouldn’t confuse them and think they are the same thing. The whole anti-Pope thing is becoming a cultural argument, us vs them, and it’s tiresome. Faith, per se, is not the issue here.

Mad eye deficit

Posted 05 Sep 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Daft, Politics

I’m still, predictably, struggling with the whole Ed vs. David question. Instinctively I lean towards the former, but I think the latter may well be the most pragmatic, pluralist choice.

Either way – digging through a big box of old newspaper cuttings earlier today, I found this – the first time Ed Miliband featured in Steve Bell’s wonderful If… comic strip, I think (it’s dated 16 July 2007).

Incidentally, he may be bonkers, but I’m really enjoying Tony Blair’s book.

The generosity of Tony Blair

Posted 17 Aug 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Islam and the Middle East, Politics

Right. There are a good many things wrong with Tony Blair, and a good many reasons why for me, and a lot of my fellow travellers in the Labour Party, he is viewed with suspicion and even revulsion in some quarters. He is an enormously talented politician, and he did some truly great things as Prime Minister (the minimum wage, Northern Ireland, intervention in Kosovo and Sierre Leone) and much which I disapproved of too (creeping privatisation, the failure to address inequality, allowing rendition, ID cards and 48 Days).

Since he left office he has appeared to many interested onlookers to be exploiting his position as ex-PM for personal gain (cf, his involvement with JPMorgan, his preoccupation with the lecture circuit, and particularly his relationship with the UI Energy Corporation, which has oil interests in Northern Iraq). He has been a diligent Peace Envoy to the Middle East, but his track record in the area provokes concerns that his authority is weak. I was distinctly unimpressed with his advocacy of confronting Iran militarily, and his abject failure to convey any regret over the Iraq debacle at the Chilcot Enquiry. When, a few days ago, I read how much money Blair was rumoured to be making through his memoirs, I felt unsurprised that he should prioritise such endeavours – his attitude towards power and wealth has always seemed unhealthy.

However, Blair proved me wrong and his donating the full proceeds of his book (which will amount to well over £5m) is a fine gesture and one for which he should be applauded. I now find myself, in the face of a torrent of cynicism from the mainstream press, forced to defend him, and clarify my position towards him. Most papers today ask the rhetorical question “generous gesture or guilty conscience?” and imply his decision reflects a need to make up for past crimes. Firstly, I don’t think for a moment that Blair considers his past actions to be needing of absolution, but nor do I think his sentiment towards injured servicemen and women is false – I have no doubts that the death of so many have given him sleepless nights, as they would any Prime Minister. I suspect that there may be some political dimension to the gesture, but I don’t judge him too harshly for that given the outcomes are so positive. So why the relentless criticism?

I think it’s because it has become impossible to take a nuanced position on the Iraq war. The national mood demands a full recantation, a full rebuttal of the principle of intervention, and a rewriting of history which paints Blair’s motives as indisputedly malign. The reality is of course far more complicated – but it becomes necessary occasionally to acknowledge the complexity of an argument, rather than repeat it endlessly in the simplest terms. Like a lot of people, I instinctively do not like Tony Blair. But I need to make it clear that I do not dislike him for many of the (mostly absurd) reasons others seem to (because he is “a warmonger”, because he is a Catholic, because he is married to Cherie Booth, because he is not severe on Israel). I disapprove of the war on Iraq, but not because I think it was wrong to topple Saddam (I think that was the right thing to do) but because it was done in a way which massively destabilised the Middle East. It was the right decision made at the wrong time, by the wrong people, without due care for the consequences. But painting Blair as having ‘blood on his hands’ has become an unusable, objectionable cliché.

The decision to go to war with Iraq was misguided. The sucking up to power and influence in which Blair has indulged is indecent. And his legacy is, to say the very least, uncertain.

But we should acclaim him for this decision, not deride him for it.

Deborah Mattinson on Labour

Posted 24 Jul 2010 — by Jonathan
Category General, Politics

With all the fuss about Mandelson’s tawdry sodding diaries in the press at the moment, a confession: I couldn’t care less about the personal feuds, delusions and dramas that have fuelled the last sixteen years of British politics. Reading the self-indulgent, self-serving memoirs of cretins like Mandelson, Alistair Campbell or – shortly – Tony Blair appeals not one jot. However, I am interested in good books about politics, and this one – by Deborah Mattinson – looks quite engaging, even if does contain the words ‘A New Politics’ in the subtitle.

Mattinson was involved in polling and focus group research for Labour for over 25 years, and as such has some interesting insights into the strategies and intellectual ideas which were incubating inside the party over the last quarter of a century.

The Guardian has some interesting excerpts here, which shed some light on the Labour government we saw under Blair and Brown.

My favourite bit, mind, is the author’s observations on Labour party members:

Basically, they are all a bit weird. I mean, what they had in common wasn’t their political opinions – they covered the whole spectrum, from centre-left to far left – they weren’t united by any ideology or political belief.

No, it was that they were all slightly strange people … strange personally, I mean. They were people who really did want to spend their evenings sitting in church halls or community centres agonising over quite arcane points of detail.

And they weren’t just doing it that night, but every night – the committee for this, the committee for that, the council, whatever. They were sort of lonely and socially odd.

Ha ha, ace.

More on Zac Goldsmith

Posted 19 Jul 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

I didn’t mention this when I linked to that excruciating interview between Jon Snow and Zac Goldsmith the other day, but the irony of the whole situation is that Goldsmith made a rather minor issue concerning election spending into a much larger point about political culture and Tory arrogance. He really had no need to respond in such a belligerent, dismissive way, and could have easily put the allegations in context without seriously damaging his political career. Over at the Chasing Sheep blog, Stray hypothesises the elegant response which Goldsmith could have delivered. It’s worth a read.

Here’s a sample:

Jon: There’s no doubt that others are also playing the system – we’ve looked at the expenses of 30 MPs that we feel have questions to answer – but yours were materially different from the others.

Zac: If that’s the case – and I’m not convinced it is, but I haven’t looked at the returns of every MP – then the electoral commission will no doubt carry out an investigation. This was my first election and I sought advice every step of the way – especially on spending. If we’ve got it wrong then the people of Richmond can expect my apology and a by-election – and I will be happy to run, and win, against Susan Kramer again, under new, clearer spending guidelines.

Here’s the whole thing.

Jon Snow vs Zac Goldsmith

Posted 16 Jul 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

This is kind of amazing; an absolute car-crash of a performance from Zac Goldsmith – a really kind of breathtaking display of arrogance and self-righteousness. What is depressing is that Goldsmith was meant to represent a new breed of MPs of whom we could expect something better. This is dreadful stuff – the moment where he calls Jon Snow a ‘charlatan’ is a moment Goldsmith will, I suspect, long regret.

Vote in St. Peter’s & North Laine

Posted 07 Jul 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Pretty sure I’ve used my blog to tell you all how to vote several times over the last seven or eight years, so there’s no reason, I don’t think, why I should stop now. Politics in Brighton is always interesting, if beset by all the usual bickering and grandstanding one encounters in local politics, and colourful, too. We Brighton folk are very lucky in that we get to choose, tomorrow, between two fine candidates in a local election which is likely to return either a Green or a Labour representative to the local council.

If you are a local reader, I would heartily recommend you spend a bit of time reading up on the two candidates (this head-to-head is a good place to start). Further, I can say that the young man campaigning for Labour, Tom French, has run an exceptionally energetic campaign. He’s only 24, but he’s thoughtful, erudite and independent. You could do a great deal worse than lend him your vote. Even though I’m a Labour member, I’m delighted to have Caroline Lucas as my MP and a majority of Greens on the council – but with Greens powerful locally and the Tories and Lib Dems in power nationally, the case for a local Labour councillor is strong. Important decisions get made locally, for all the attention that national politics gets, and Tom would be a great component in that decision-making process. So – vote.

Jon Snow on the birth of a coalition

Posted 02 Jun 2010 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Apologies for just quoting an entire blog entry verbatim, but I think this is interesting enough to be worth posting on its own without my own gloss. Over at his (excellent) Snowblog, Jon Snow has posted an interesting hypothesis about the early seeds of Cameron and Clegg’s political partnership.

In full, then:

At the height of the MPs expenses scandal, the then Commons Speaker Michael Martin – himself under siege – agreed a meeting with the three main Westminster party leaders.

Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg met in a crisis session with the Speaker in his Commons rooms.

Senior Tory sources have disclosed that when the meeting convened, Gordon Brown offered what we now know to have been his stock-in-trade.

He immediately produced his papers listing in large bold letters his own multi point system for redeeming the reputation of the Commons.

As was his wont, Brown would brook neither questioning nor challenge to his edict. Exasperated, Clegg and Cameron found themselves cast in alliance against the bulldozing Brown.

My sources say that this was the first time that they began to forge coherent political co-operation and in conversations afterwards realised that they had enough in common to do some serious talking.

Will history one day judge that the intransigent over-bearing Brown became the unwitting midwife of the eventual birth of coalition politics in Britain?

Very interesting.