Posts Tagged ‘Newt Gingrich’

Now Newt’s on the ropes

Posted 27 Jan 2012 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

The clip below really couldn’t be much more emphatic; if you watched it, you’ll already know that, finally, Mitt Romney seemed to haul himself out of the doldrums with a commanding performance in the Primary debate last night. Here, swatting Gingrich away, he finally looks back to being a realistic Presidential Candidate. All of a sudden he has hitherto unseen confidence and authority. I think he’ll sweep Florida, now, and if he can retain the energy, sweep the nomination.

For those of us who fear Obama could be beaten at the election, the worry is that the experience of facing the populist agression of Gingrich, and the grassroots’ disdain, has changed Mitt Romney as a politician. If he’d have coasted through this nomination process, he’d be facing up to Obama as the listless, complacent Mitt that started this process in Iowa a couple of months back. But despite the many direct hits he’s taken from Newt through this campaign – all of which he’ll have to take again from Obama later this year – Mitt looks like he might finally have sharpened up and hit his stride. In a sense, he’s been handed a rehearsal for the election proper, and that could help him. Judging by yesterday’s debate, he looks like he might have enough in reserve to win – and to be a significantly improved candidate against Obama.

As always, it’ll be fascinating to watch Newt over the next few days. He looks highly irritated and badly winded in the clip below. Has he got one last burst of energy and can he channel it before Friday?

I doubt it.

Poll-driven consultant-guided Mitt

Posted 03 Jan 2012 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Oh, Newt has let rip… ace. Here he is, asked if Mitt is a liar for claiming no responsibility for the attack-ads.

He’s not telling the American people the truth. It’s just like his pretense that he’s a conservative.

Here’s a Massachusetts moderate who has tax-paid abortions in Romneycare; puts Planned Parenthood in Romneycare; raises hundreds of millions of dollars of taxes on businesses; appoints liberal judges to appease Democrats; and wants the rest of us to believe somehow he’s magically a conservative.

I just think he ought to be honest with the American people and try to win as the real Mitt Romney, not try to invent a poll-driven consultant-guided version that goes around with talking points.

I’ve really got my fingers crossed for a close Mitt/Newt run-in. Can’t see it, but think of the fun…

And Newt is watching it slip away

Posted 03 Jan 2012 — by Jonathan
Category Politics

Meanwhile, turning back to Newt, this paragraph is succinct and revealing. What happened, it asks, to Newt’s surge…

The answer is fairly straightforward. Here’s Rich Lowry.

When Gingrich got his surge, he needed to do three things as a predicate for everything else: avoid grandiosity (e.g., “I’m going to be the nominee,” comparing the Virginia ballot fiasco to Pearl Harbor); don’t seem erratic (e.g., going back and forth on whether your campaign is going to be positive or negative), and don’t get rattled (e.g., letting Romney bait you into hitting him on “bankrupting” companies, becoming obsessed with the ad campaign against you). Obviously, Gingrich is 0-3. It can’t be easy holding up under such a barrage and some of the charges in the ads haven’t been fair, but basically the ads have gotten out the word on Newt. In the Des Moines Register poll, he’s rated “the least consistent” of the candidates, ahead of even Romney.

Gingrich needs a good performance, today, I think. He needs to be placed fourth, above Perry, or see his momentum digging further back into reverse. Both of them, in fact, will be in real trouble if Mitt does anything other than win convincingly. A Paul or Santorum win would be a massive blow; as Ezra Klein explains:

Rather than challenging Romney, Paul and Santorum are preventing a challenge to Romney. There is reason to think that a candidate like Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry could make a strong run at Romney if they caught momentum out of Iowa. But Paul and Santorum are squeezing those candidates out in Iowa, and since Romney is almost certainly going to romp to victory in New Hampshire, it’s much harder to see where a plausible not-Romney can score an upset victory that would actually change the underlying dynamics of the race. The strength that Paul and Santorum are showing in Iowa is, in other words, a boon to Romney’s chances, not a threat to them.

And anything that’s a boon to Romney is, of course, a blow to his rivals (except Santorum, who might just get VP out of this).

(h/t Ian Leslie)